Neck and Neck

Extra! Extra! Read all about it! Bush and Kerry are neck and neck again! It feels like June, and May, and all those other months...all over again. Except without me sleeping until, like, 5pm.

A Pew research center poll released today has shown that Bush and Kerry are now tied at 46 percent among registered voters, with Bush at 47 percent and Kerry among 46 percent for likely voters. The poll had a 3.5 point margin of error.

The reasons this is so signifigant is because the Pew Center, known for it's relative high standards and non-partisan conduct, had a poll shortly after the convention that gave Bush the standard bounce. Has Bush really lost his bounce, nationally? What do we need now to have this proved?

How about consensus? The only other poll as recent as the Pew one is one from Democracy Corps, and if you look at the little D next to the name it'll tell you why we certainly can't use that poll to build consensus (Here's a clue - there is a reason they didn't call is Republican Corps). We'll see what we get from Zogby or Gallup in the next few days.

Also, since it seems that Bush is coming ahead slightly for likely voters, this seems as good a time as any to explain the difference between registered and likely voters, if any of you don't have that figured out. Registered voters are people that are, simply, registered to vote. Like, you know, alot of college students, because they did it at the DMV. Likely voters are people who actually are going to vote.

Like my grandparents, or Jeb Bush.